I have been contemplating getting a solar battery for a while. We have a 5Kw solar system already.
However, I am not sure if a battery system makes financial sense and I have used the Tesla Powerwall to do some calcs.
Noting, we are a high usage house and on average use 30 Kw, so we can not go off grid and savings will really be whatever the system can store.
If I look at Power wall pricing, they are about $14.5k for a 13.5Kw system and comes with a 10 year warranty. They will more likely jackup the prices so rebates will have negligible effects.
$14k in an offset account will be valued at $20.9k in 10 years (assuming long term home loan interest rate of 4%).
So technically spending $2090 a year to have the system and that is before any maintenance.
The system at best will save us 13.5kw energy (less in winters when the solar doesnt generate enough).. 13.5kw at a peak rate of $0.40 is $5.40 a day and over a year is $1971. If I account for lower winter production from a 5 Kw solar system and usage without a battery + assume no downtime for the battery, I recon it will land at a saving of $1500 approx against a cost of $2090 + maintenance.
What am I missing? or are they really not worth it?
You're taking into account the time value of money which you're measuring at 4% a year.
But what about the likelihood of raising electricity prices?
Overall I'm with you that it's not worth it at this time.