What technological improvements that most people will use, be affordable and available/accessible in the next 10 to 15 years?
Electronic cars? Supermarkets with no checkouts? No cash? Robots? Flying cars? Affordable commercial space travel?
What technological improvements that most people will use, be affordable and available/accessible in the next 10 to 15 years?
Electronic cars? Supermarkets with no checkouts? No cash? Robots? Flying cars? Affordable commercial space travel?
@[Deactivated]: You sir, have no idea of the technology.
<rant>Your IT, cryptography and cyber security degree at tertiary level are useless, or you are just another example of the poor quality of Australian education system. </rant>
For e.g, Bitcoin is not managed by any country in particular, so your assertion
"the reality is that it’s about as unlikely as anything you can imagine because it would rely on basically every country hosting it to cooperate, which is basically never going to happen." is baseless.
For POW, you need to have 51% processing power (nothing to do with individual countries).
Moreover, most of the mining power is actually quite concentrated, and for me, that is a worry - much more than the inept and incompetent capabilities to track cryptocurrency by the various governments around the world, with the exception of a few.
"…found that the top 10% of miners control 90% of the Bitcoin mining capacity, and just 0.1% (about 50 miners) control 50% of mining capacity."
Guess where most of the mining is happening for Bitcoin?
The future is people owning unconfiscatable liquid assets
So it will be a haven for criminals, terrorists and paedophiles.
REST super is investing in this industry.
The other pension funds will fall over themselves when they FOMO after seeing REST's yearly returns.
Either way unconfiscatable liquid assets would a haven for money launderers and tax dodgers.
@Baysew: Money laundering doesn't work on a public ledger.
As opposed to the centralised usd funding the worlds warlords since 1945?
A dollar who’s dominance is maintained and enforced through the use of a standing army…
Recent studies have found as little as 3% of crime is linked to crypto
3% is a lot of crime…..
@[Deactivated]: what's the percentage involving fiat and when are we treating everyone who uses it like criminals regardless of whether they are innocent or not? oh wait…
@mitchalbrown: Fiat money is king and criminals love using it because is untraceable, fungible, accessible and acceptable by everyone.
The scale of money laundering is difficult to assess, but it is considered to be significant. The United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) estimates that between 2 and 5% of global GDP is laundered each year. That’s between EUR 715 billion and 1.87 trillion each year.
https://www.europol.europa.eu/crime-areas-and-statistics/cri…Cash is still king: Criminals prefer cash for money laundering
08 JUL 2015 Update date:16 Nov 2021
https://www.europol.europa.eu/media-press/newsroom/news/cash…Why is cash still a king? A strategic Report on the use of cash by Criminal groups as a facilitator for money laundering
08 FEB 2015 Update date:07 Dec 2021
https://www.europol.europa.eu/publications-events/publicatio…
@rektrading: Except you trigger a bunch of systems when you try and transfer it internationally, but you can exfiltrate Bitcoin from your marks without any safeguards or impediments for exactly the reasons you think it’s so good. It doesn’t matter much that it’s traced to another country, it’s gone, while electronic transfers of cash can be usually halted or reversed and physical cash is screened at borders.
All I see is lots of people with a stake in it pretending there’s another use all while saying it’s ‘unconfiscatable’ and providing proof of such showing it’s used by criminals, then next minute denying those criminals are the primary use case.
Given the only other use is speculation it’s going to be a rude shock to a lot of people when it has zero legal uses.
@mitchalbrown: There’s a reason why they were trying to ban cash purchases from businesses over $10k. But cash is very hard to hide for international crime, even if it’s easier locally.
Just one guy amassed over a billion dollars in Bitcoin from selling drugs online, I wonder how many others they haven’t caught.
Cash is definitely better for some criminal things, crypto just lets people commit new crimes that don’t work with cash. It doesn’t have to be good because fiat bad or vice versa, we get the worst of both of them, while you can choose the right one for your particular criminal enterprise.
A 3% is a bit much. It's closer to 0.34% in 2020.
Jan 19, 2021,09:37pm EST
The False Narrative Of Bitcoin’s Role In Illicit Activity
Hailey Lennon
Senior Contributor
Crypto & Blockchain
I cover regulatory developments impacting the cryptocurrency industry.A False Narrative
The majority of cryptocurrency is not used for criminal activity. According to an excerpt from Chainalysis’ 2021 report, in 2019, criminal activity represented 2.1% of all cryptocurrency transaction volume (roughly $21.4 billion worth of transfers). In 2020, the criminal share of all cryptocurrency activity fell to just 0.34% ($10.0 billion in transaction volume).
https://www.forbes.com/sites/haileylennon/2021/01/19/the-fal…
Good thing is that such people are usually technologically incompetent.
Good luck when they outlaw it completely and you can't exchange crypto to fiat anywhere. Also laws can be enacted to outlaw the payment of goods and services in crypto, so you're (profanity) either way. There's not much point owning thousands of dollars in crypto if you can't spend it anywhere.
Who are they? Australia?
Countries that are smart and wants revenue won't ban it. They'll embrace it, create jobs and collect taxes or they can make the same mistake as China and be left behind.
China, left behind, right. And here I was thinking they're one of the largest superpowers in the world.
@Crow K: The CCP wanted to kill off the industry by shutting down CEX. What happened was the opposite.
Their citizens ditched the CEX, Tx the tokens to wallets and started to smash buy on dYdX.
@rektrading: And that was the moment that the economic superpower than is China got 'left behind'.
This is what crypto bros actually believe.
@Crow K: Of course.
They lost a whole industry, jobs and the tax revenue in one go.
@rektrading: Well, they specifically were trying to ban it, so I guess it was 'lost' in the same sense I 'lost' the banana peel I put in the bin.
The "jobs" angle is a new one on me, I'll admit. Obviously mining is a passive thing, what jobs were being lost? Trading jobs?
@Crow K: Manufacturing, devs, legal, PR, HR, transports, sales, cleaning, etc.
Basically, any jobs that are required to keep an industry of that size going.
@rektrading: "Manufacturing, devs, legal, PR, HR, transports, sales, cleaning"
Thanks for the laugh, crypto bro. May the crypto fairy sprinkle all those jobs on us all once we embrace crypto jobs.
@Crow K: It could if Australia plays their cards right.
Australia’s crypto industry could outgrow the tourism and energy sectors by 2030, adding $68.4 billion to the economy
John Buckley 14/12/2021
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/news/australia-s-crypto-indu…
@rektrading: They lost a heap of people literally stealing power and paying no tax while their citizens had to do without power for heating. I think they were happy to leave that behind.
It’s like flushing a turd.
@[Deactivated]: https://www.webbedfeet.uk/news/internet-a-passing-fad
no jobs here… just a bunch of people on their computers doing nerd stuff…
IYKYK…
@mitchalbrown: Crypto is more like MSN than the internet and Bitcoin is more like MySpace.
while their citizens had to do without power
This is irrelevant to the point at hand, and your followup suggesting that banning crypto would help is typical pro-CCP propaganda by misleading the public that their self-inflicted power supply shortage was not due to coal import bans and bad power regulation policy.
Their citizens ditched the CEX, Tx the tokens to wallets and started to smash buy on dYdX.
Sounds like this sort of activity would be considered criminal, breaking Chinese law. Maybe time to revise Bitcoin’s Role In Illicit Activity.
Probably won't do citizens social score much good too.
@Baysew: The Chinese people do what they have to do to make money to put food on the table.
The CCP does what it has to try and control its citizens.
What happens in China is their business. It doesn't affect the rest of the market.
@Baysew: I'm so glad someone brought up the point because it is a pillar of the argument for decentralised cryptocurrency… No government should be able to erode your wealth through terrible fiscal policy and deny you the right to protect your wealth. The chinese government is a great example of political overeach whereby your very movements in your home country or the ability to get finance to buy a house is arbitrarily dictated by their idea of a "perfect citizen" aka - one thats shuts up and drinks the koolaid.
Cryptocurrency is the answer to this - self custodial wealth where code is law and no government can come and change the rules to suit their political agenda. decentralised protocols can be accessed by anyone with a computer and income from participation in the network is open to anyone. This system is so superior to the centralised government fiat system which is continuously failing and requiring half time rule changes to prop it up and kick the can down the road.
Ai helpers.
Rich people will have more advanced personal assistants
It will just do basic things like auto reply
Search for bargains
Metaverse
Second life 2.0? I don’t think this will be anything in 10-15 years
Cheap energy. Energy is more expensive now than ever, but I see a lot of significant improvements coming through over the next few years that will make domestic power significantly cheaper.
Cheaper (and cleaner - so guilt free) opens many options for improving day-to-day life.
But will the government and energy companies pass those savings onto consumers?
They won't get a choice when people install enough solar on their houses to go off grid.
But agree with Idroid, Australia, with copious amounts of sunlight and desert has an opportunity to have a Dubai energy moment in renewables. Unfortunately the government's policies don't see the potential economic advantage, just the downside for their coal/gas/oil buds.
Energy itself is not more expensive now than ever, it’s actually way cheaper than it’s been in a long time, just intermittent. Solar and wind especially are now much cheaper than coal has been for decades, or nuclear ever was. Even retail energy was more expensive a few years ago in most places.
Energy itself is not more expensive now than ever, it’s actually way cheaper than it’s been in a long time, just intermittent.
I'm no expert in this field, but while renewables are reducing the over all costs, the increase in fossil fuel costs have IMO out weighed any benefit had. But IMO we're now at a cross-over point where renewables have become significantly cheaper and fossils are losing their relevance.
I'm hoping that this will pass on to consumers once the past generation of power sources are phased out (coal, gas, etc).
We're already seeing real world savings. Our household typical daytime power usage on a sunny day is, for example
Yesterday 30c, Total consumption 43.6kWh, of that, 9.3kWh imported from grid, 8.1kWh exported to grid, total solar production 42.7kWh
Today 24c, Total consumption 28.1kWh (9pm), of that, 3.6kWh imported from grid, 12kWh exported to grid, total solar production 42kWh
This is how it works most days for us. Winter is a different story and we personally use wood fires (free wood from our property) - so is not applicable to most. But our summer power costs (where we've always spent the most in the past) are now typically free or yield profit from positive bills (that will stop with lowering feed-in tariff)
With battery storage making improvements (capacity, cost and utility) I expect things to improve at an increasing rate of pace - primarily due to the tech race for EV cars yielding storage capability for all.
I watched how mobile phone tech and the race for the cheapest best phones have made items like 3g/4g/wifi radios, GPS receivers, accelerometers, gyros, screens, batteries (small scale) almost free (you can buy most for $1 - $2 to include in your own projects now).
I expect this same drive for EV will give battery tech that will boost so many other fields - one of those being home storage, even if it just the two family's (future) cars 20-100kWh batteries they have…
3 9 6
Tesla had it locked down
https://youtu.be/ODy6jLVr2ag
What the hell crack pottery did I just see?
My lifetime of healthy living was for nothing as I'm pretty sure that video just gave me cancer.
Do you have a link to a video that helps me un-see and un-hear what that link took me to?
6 9 3
Lmfao… Gold
You're welcome 😁
Electric cars that will power your house and effectively keep you off the grid while charging from solar.
The government will have a heap of stranded assets
There are two players that never lose: Banks and Government.
How would this work?
Assuming you are a full time worker, 261 days per year are business days. For 261/365 days you will not be able to charge your car using solar power.
Its not feasible unless you are retired and leave your car at home during solar producing hours.. A separate battery is required.
30% of australia don't drive daily to work
You can have 2 cars, one for daily driving the other for occasional
The average electric car will have a 50kwh battery
Your nightly usage would be max 10kwh
Pretty easy to do it
Plus your office may have electric power
Which will become more common in the future
I would only say this is a good idea if you have a family with two cars and one not driven daily. Doesn't make sense to have another car just for use as a battery..
For a single person it is not a good solution, for a family maybe. Also with cloudy days don't think you'll get away with being off grid just yet without a diesel genny.
@Vert93: I have a car I only drive once a week or so (public transport to work is way cheaper than parking, hell Uber is cheaper than parking), even as a single person, once prices for electric cars get competitive it wouldn’t be a big deal to have it charging most days and just not the short time I’m out with it, since it would have ample capacity to go days without charging. Going out at night would still require some local battery though to run the fridge at least. I’m not sure the current vehicles output enough current yet (vehicle to load) even if they have more than enough kWh. In time perhaps.
It’s more extremely rainy weeks that are the problem more than rainy days or overcast days. Setup right you can still get quite a lot out of an overcast day.
Also apartments have no real choice for the foreseeable future, there’s a reason why apartment prices haven’t gone anywhere in a decade in most cities.
improvement in battery tech will see electric cars become ubiquitous, and combined with AI/self driving. Transportation will become a utility!
if your own car is centrally controlled,
then it will inevitably will be monitored & controlled.
this will be a scary thought,
and especially, if it will be linked to your biometrics,
ie. there will be no MORE absolute freedom of movement.
if you have ca$h, you don't need permission to use it.
if you have a petrol car, you don't need permission to use it,
nor do you need to tell anyone where you are going, nor does a company control its machinery (you just own the car outright).
basically, when you're using services,
it becomes a permissioned service, and you're just a user/renter, not an owner anymore.
Car movements are already highly monitored by bluetooth scanners used by road authorities, numberplate scanners operated by police and by video cameras used by many public and private groups.
While I believe that private vehicle ownership will remain a thing for those who can afford it, I predict that in future, governments will legislate mandatory remote control systems that police will be able to activate. There were leaked documents in 2014 that produced these rumours - e.g. European Cops to Get Kill Switch for Cars: Rumor. It doesn't seem to have happened yet, but it will come eventually as technology advances.
I don't think anyone is going to force you to give up car ownership, it's just going to get easier to not own one
Yep. Battery cost per kwh and kwh per kg has consistently halved every four years and is expected to continue. Electric cars will soon be cheaper than petrol cars.
Self driving might take a bit longer to perfect though. Especially if they have to share the road with human drivers. If self driving cars are twice as safe as human controlled cars they'll still kill six hundred Australians a year so expect lots of litigation and legislative hurdles.
What technological improvements in the next 10-15 years will change our lives?
Nuclear-powered vacuum cleaners…
You've played too much Fallout during the holidays…
Electric Cars, Clones and Genetic Engineering, Space Travel and Satellites, Artificial Intelligence, Neuralink
Pretty much anything Elon Musk is doing
6g.
No more personal computers but cloud computers
Geez, i wonder what viruses 6g will bring. Let mr ask an anti vaxxer.
Better internet infrastructure - more submarine cables, and more local infrastructure (maybe)
Virtual Reality continuing to grow - at the moment you can get 8k or 16k virtual reality setups with 140 degree vision in professional applications for ~$10,000. Give it time and it will be cheaper/better and we'll end up with some incredible experiences available at a fairly cheap price. Especially if Meta goes all in.
Most SME IT systems will move to the cloud except the bare minimum that's required onsite.
We'll get the PS6 and next Xbox - they will be about the same power as a mid level PC of the time for a few hundred dollars less.
Video games will start becoming even more photo-realistic. If you want a taste check out footage of the Matrix Unreal Engine demo on PS5, its pretty wild.
Internal combustion engines will be phased out in anything they can easily be removed from. Cars will take longer unless we go full euro spec.
Augmented reality might become more mainstream - this is my longshot prediction, I really liked google glass but I seem to be in the minority here.
Theyll use AI to recreate and make further trilogies like rambi terminator matrix LOTR hp with the original cast
I won't mind. More movies
Flying electric cars with onboard robots equipped with hoverboards that can do your shopping for you without going to the checkout
Cars as a service. You will subscribe to Ford/Toyota/Tesla/whoever and they will maintain an on-demand fleet of autonomous cars. When you need to go somewhere you just request one and it shows up and takes you there. No more car ownership, petrol stations, taxis, mechanics, Uber. Households may retain one vehicle for recreational use, but the days of 2 parents, 2 adult kids and 4 cars will be long gone.
This will only work when there is the mass volume and price competitiveness. What will happen to the older cars that need to be sold off?
Also, i hate getting into other peoples cars coz they are generally filthy, this will be a sticking point if there is no ‘back to base’ check
I suspect they will use some kind of monitoring with cameras and utilise machine learning to identify if there is jizz or similar left in the vehicle.
Or it’ll be like goget. Force the customer to do an inspection and report or threaten that they may be blamed for the mess if the following customer reports it.
This is an incredible thought
OzBargain will have a VR platform. Like a virtual store, unlimited in size, where we can 'browse' aisles of deals together in the MetaVerse.
But it would be more beautiful than normal shopping malls. There would be plants and sunshine, like the Garden of Eden. And we could interact with holograms of other online OzBargainers in this Metaverse.
A big one is the universal flu shot, which is already in human trials. We're getting very close to just eliminating flu season and ending the current cat and mouse game
It's like being security at a popular club, and someone who isn't allowed keeps trying to come in with different wigs, hats, facial hair, accents and jewellery
Old flu vaccines are just like posting a few of the disguises at the entrance so security won't let them in, with a bit of analysis to try and predict what disguise they'll be wearing this time
The universal flu vaccine is like realizing the person always wears the same purple nose ring, has blue eyes, a unibrow and has a mole on their left cheek. Security now looks for aspects that can't easily be changed and now all of the disguises are useless
If you simultaneously target enough hard to change factors, then there is essentially no chance of a virus mutating all of them at once to evade immunity
But the tricky part has been getting our immune systems to recognise those factors, and the breakthroughs and rapid testing of the covid mrna vaccines will push it forward half a decade at least
Medical technology Is taking off, especially tissue engineering (lab grown organs).
In 2023 a company named Foregen is starting human clinical trials to regenerate foreskin removed during circumcision, back to identical to nature.
https://www.foregen.org/about
They already perfected this for women in 2014: https://newsroom.wakehealth.edu/News-Releases/2014/04/Labora…
Soon most bodily organs will be able to be grown, ending the transplant crisis and giving accident survivors, cancer patients, and others hope.
Ultra-sonic dish washer. - you just leave dirty dish in the sink and press button. - just like how optometrist cleans your eye glasses.
That's very inefficient
AI find me bargains on Ozbargain
Ai based pricing it will be a constant war
Some kind of biometric identity link to all digital services and money,
ie. your physical biological being will be the identity for services (eg. money, transport, travel, jobs, relationships, education, etc.)
and this biological self will become the 'key' or authenticator for infrastructure.
I think that will be the big change in technology,
where it will shift from not proving WHAT you know,
proving WHO / WHAT you are in some kind of biological way.
The things on this list didn't exist 20Y ago.
https://twitter.com/JonErlichman/status/1474734272502239237?…
Which of them will survive the next 20Y?
Interesting. I only use a couple of these because I’m conservative and like my privacy. I suspect most of these will be less prevalent like walkmans, Yahoo, IBM etc. I expect Facebook, Skype and Uber will be gone. Does anyone use Skype much anymore? The next gen will not bother with Facebook.
Meta and Uber are likely to survive.
Skype would probably be sold to another platform.
Skype is dead and has/will integrate in Teams
@Vote for Pedro: Thanks. I didn't know that.
Wow, what a virtually useless list of crap (apart from a few)
Yep I'm sure much more was created
"Realistic" blow up dolls.
In 10 years, robotic limbs will help amputees walk or use their arms.
In 15 years, Olympians amputate their good limbs and replace with robotic ones to win medals.
Much cheaper renewable electricity which means we can power our homes without worrying about hurting the environment. 10 to 15 years isn’t far away. What do we have today but not 15 years ago? iPhones, PS5, M1 chips, Oled TVs, electric cars. So we’ll probably have iPhone 20, PS7, Rollable OLED TV’s, hydrogen vehicles perhaps. 5G might be rolled out everywhere like 4G today. NBN still will probably be average. Australia still ranked low in the world on Internet speeds. Movie theatres will probably be gone. Laser projectors at home. Physical bank branches and car dealerships will probably almost be gone.
Also more people working from home so cities will be made up of more apartments.
Cheaper sustainable electricity would be good.
Mining would be much more profitable and accessible for more people that want passive income.
Automatic selection, purchase and delivery of all the crap on OzBargain that I don’t need to save me needing to actually visit the site
I am expecting 6 ply toilet paper to be affordable and mainstream. #progress
Fembots
Artificial meat will be a normal thing for everyone
Artificial meat will not only become available, it will become compulsory. There will be a major fight between the people on one side who want to ban real meat out of concern for the animals who die to provide it plus those who want to ban real meat to save the planet, and on the other side the traditionalists who want to still be able to eat real meat. The people who want to ban it will win. The real meat eaters will be vilified, driven underground and criminalised.
(Note I am not advocating or supporting this, just predicting it WILL happen.)
The market will trend to where it can make the most amount of profit.
Australia's meat industry is strong. They will lobby the feds to kill off bills that will take away their business.
Much in the same way the all powerful dairy industry had margerine banned, which is why it doesn't exist today.
A monorail for Sydney.
The whole free facebook platform (free.facebook.com), will launch again but for all internet.
We did have free 56k services in the 1990s here in Australia.
That's my guess.
flying cars.
Self driving cars. Trip times could easily be halved if all cars were keeping up with the speed limit, not making mistakes, and merging at the correct speed. And those people that do slow-motion turns on green arrows - OMG just getting those people off the road would improve my life dramatically. If safe enough, we wouldn't have to have those 40km/h reduced speeds in congested areas, and cycling could be safe enough for the generally public. Eventually cars and traffic lights will be coordinated, so minimal stopping as well.
Robot doctors that know more than humans and aren't under pressure to get people out the door within 5 minutes.
Reliable and affordable dashcams with full-time parking mode and 360 vision - no more door dingers getting away with it.
A fold-up Brompton-style ebike with modular battery that can be taken on airlines for less than $1,000. Not sure why it's so hard.
Might take more than 15 years tho.
"No cash" is not an improvement.
Cash is used for money laundering.
The sooner the feds can remove it from circulation the sooner they can collect more taxes.
Not sure if this is considered "technological" but AI
@rektrading: Again, they’ve literally confiscated billions by hacking people’s devices or applying enough pressure to get them to turn it over. In my first example the guy has several life sentences, he’s never getting out of prison to spend a cent and they’ve already on sold it anyway.
People are the weak point. Just because you have one example where the presumably one and only wallet was confiscated. If you have any evidence at all that what you suggest happened did, you’re welcome to back up that one case. But that’s still just that one case.
Note technically it would be possible to bring the whole network down and take everyone’s coins, but the reality is that it’s about as unlikely as anything you can imagine because it would rely on basically every country hosting it to cooperate, which is basically never going to happen.
Coins have been taken and will continue to be taken, because people’s ability to protect their private keys is not absolute. People are the weak point, always have been, always will be.