I've been looking to book some time in Tokyo, Kyoto and others in May or June 2022 (gave up on April), and they are super highly booked - ie. above 90% sometimes even 97% even for just 4 nights. I am tossing up between booking whatever decent options I find now, to waiting a few months. I guess with free cancellations no reason not to, but then, is that what everyone else is doing? Could that be driving this situation?
Do you think it's because many hotels haven't put in their allocations yet or is it genuinely tonnes of people booking for spring of next year in anticipation of travel being opened?
I've been to Japan a few times btw so I'm well familiar with the hotel supply/demand situation in general.
I found that sometimes even trying to book hotels 6 months in advance they still hadn't updated availability, this was pre COVID obviously but cannot imagine it has changed much.
Always found it was much more a thing in cheaper business hotels.