7/2/21 at 6:42pm
Win $100/$50/$50 for Guessing OzBargain's 10,000,000th Comment

124 entrants, 0 wins
Last edited 09/01/2021 - 01:07
Dates
Prizes
Entry Requirements
OzBargain is coming up to another big milestone of 10,000,000 comments. You can see the current tally at the very bottom of every page in the footer and we are about ~82,062 comments away (as of posting).
Some Stats:
The 9,000,000th comment was on July 15, 2020. The 8,000,000th comment was on Nov 22, 2019. The 7,000,000th comment was on Feb 27, 2019. The 6,000,000th comment was on May 31, 2018. The 5,000,000th comment was on August 23, 2017. The 4,000,000th comment was only on September 16, 2016. The 3,000,000th comment was in Aug 2015. The 2,000,000th comment was in May 2014. The 1,000,000th comment was in Aug 2012.
So 6 years to get to 1 million, 8 to get to 2m, ~9 to get to 3m, close to 10 years for 4m, 11 for 5m, 14 years for 9m.
Guess the date & time of the 10,000,000th comment
- 1 guess per user made as a comment in this thread.
- You must give the date of when the comment is made (e.g. 22/1/21) and the time in AEDT (2:49PM).
- The closest guess wins.
- The 10,000,000th comment must be published. E.G. If it's spam and removed, we will count the next published comment so 10,000,001.
- The comment must be in a public forum accessible to all members (excludes Talk with a Mod forum, Moderator Forum, Power User Forum). We will count the next comment so 10,000,001.
The user who has the guess closest to the actual comment date/time will win $100. $50 for 2nd best guess. $50 for 3rd best guess.
Prizes
- 1x $100 gift voucher (Coles, Wish, JB Hi-Fi, Paypal etc) or Paypal payment. Gift card must be able to purchased electronically by us.
- 1x $50 gift voucher (Coles, Wish, JB Hi-Fi, Paypal etc) or Paypal payment. Gift card must be able to purchased electronically by us.
- 1x $50 gift voucher (Coles, Wish, JB Hi-Fi, Paypal etc) or Paypal payment. Gift card must be able to purchased electronically by us.
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closed Comments
05/02/21 2:21PM
12/02/21 6:00am
20/01/21 at 10:22pm
14/02/2021 21:00
28/01/2021 9:06PM
23/02/2021 at 3.43pm
28/01/2021 @ 8:28PM
21/02/21 at 7:05pm
17th Jan 2021 at 7:05 pm
23/01/21 6:06PM
2/2/2021 2.22pm
17/02/2021 10:00am
Eh why not,
01/02/2021 at 20:21
2/2/21 at 10.38am
27/1/2021 5:47pm
11/02/2021 at 3.23PM
24/01/21 at 10:16AM
2/2/21 @ 3:31pm
28/01/21 @ 11:34AM
23/01/2021 at 20:28
28/01/2021 at 3:20pm
9/02/2021 at 09:21 am
I feel like I should do some math and actually working out the date properly
but it's 8:26am and I can't be bothered
We are currently 70,615 comments off 10m. Since 23:34 on the 8th there have been 11,447 comments and in that time 4880 minutes have elapsed.
This gives us an average of 2.34 comments a minute.
70615/2.34 = 30177 minutes until 10m commentsSelect dateadd(minute, 30177, getdate())
02/02/2021 at 7:51AMThere are some things which I haven't factored in such as people are still on holidays therefore less traffic. Maybe less bargains overall recently? Haven't seen many insanely popular deals in the past 4 days such as the Dell 27" or Xiami Ultrawide.
I'm going to revise my guess to the 28th of January at 3:23pm.
Interesting, I did a similar mechanic where I averaged the difference between the comments of the last four days, divided it to get an average day count and then used algorithmic means to forecast 1 million.
I got just under 17 days.Of course, a much more simplified version because it's 8:30pm and I cbf lol but better than a wild stab I hope
25/02/2021 at 8.30am
28/01/2021 at 3:19pm
04/02/2021 at 4:39pm
2/2/2021 at 12:55pm
26/01/2021 at 20:12
26/01/2021 at 11:26am
27/1 at 08:16am
25/01/2021 @ 6:18pm
20/1/2021 12:00pm
27/01/2021 21:41
8/02/2021 at 8:17am
28/02/2021 at 7.02am
2/2/2021 @ 3:22pm
26/1/21 at 4:30 pm
15/02/2021 at 4:20pm
9/2/21 at 8:28AM
25/1/2021 6.09pm
26/1/2021 14:26
15/02/2021 at 3.20pm
24/02/2021 12:45am
28/01/2021 14:05.
2/02/2021 8:00am
5/2/21 10:55pm
01/02/21 8:14am
28/01/2021 at 11:59 AM
24/01/2021 @ 3:23pm
23/01/21 @ 13:00
28/02/2021 at 1:26pm
1/2/21 at 3pm
26/1/21 16:46
14/2/21 14:21
18/01/21 8:42PM
30/1/2020 3.33pm
06/02/2021 at 3:43pm
30/01/21 at 8:20 pm
31/1/2021 at 1:30 pm.
06/02/2021 @ 13:10
OzBargain's 10,000,000th Comment
Which thread should I post it in ???
1/02/2021 at 1:23pm
30/01/21 @ 21:01:30
25 January 2021 @ 9.01am
02/02/2021 at 8:49am
17/01/21 10:05am
03/02/2021 14:35
"bikies"29/01/2021 3:00PM
14 February 2021 at 9.16am
28/01/2021 5:24PM
25/01/21 6:45pm
13/02/2021 09:36
Day of my bday
16/1/21 8:21am
27/01/2021 at 3:45PM
02/02/2021 at 11:11pm
29/01/2021 at 7:58pm
31/01/21 at 1:39pm
17/01/2021 at 10:37am
06/02/2021 @ 1300hrs
4th February 2021 @5:03pm
27/01/21 @ 11.36pm
31/1/21 @ 9:30pm
30/1/21 @ 7:21PM
if
y=7E-08e^0.0007x
then
13/02/2021 @ 1:08pm
03/Feb/2021 at 9:21am
25 Jan 2021 at 4PM
21/Feb/21 7:21 PM
30/01/2021 9:28am
27th March 2021 2.45pm
29/01/2021 at 4:41am
17/01 at 3:46PM
02/02/2021 at 7:13pm
03/02/2021 at 18:08
04/02/2021 @ 12:14PM
27/01/2021 at 9:15 am
14/02/2021 @ 9:20am
22/01/2021 @ 16:31
24/01/2021 at 3:17 PM