Once Flight Price Increases Does It Ever Reduce ?

LayG on 19/02/2019 - 16:43

Hello folks,

I am looking to travel from MEL to Singapore , Singapore to KL & KL to MEL in the month of June this year.

I checked the price for this combination which came up to like $660 pp a week ago and was waiting for my leave to get approved at work. Today when I check the price, its now like $800 pp. This is via Singapore Airlines which is my preferred airline.

My question is, now that the price has increased within such a short time, does it ever drop down a bit or is it normally an upward trend with flight prices ?

I understand that this is such a vague questions as prices might depend on a lot of other factors, but just wanted to know if the flight prices do reduce ?

Thanks in advance !

Travel Airfare

Comments

  • meiztom on 19/02/2019 - 16:48

    I watched prices jump up and down for a weeks before I booked my Singapore/Malaysia holiday recently. They should come down.

  • [Deactivated] on 19/02/2019 - 16:50
    +2

    It can.

  • blonky on 19/02/2019 - 17:13
    +1

    Can't say I've ever seen them go down, unless there's a sale that popped up during that travel period.

    I understand most airlines track the number of searches for a particular route/date and dynamically increase price if there's more views (and therefore more interest) - which is why you should use incognito browsing or clear your cookies when looking for flights. Maybe try that if you haven't already and see if that makes a difference; I know for SIA some of my preferred flights would no longer come up in searches until I cleared cookies.

    Strangely enough I've also booked SYD-SIN-KL-SIN-SYD on SIA last month - but I used points from the St George Card credit card deal to pay for it instead of the $880 return

    • LayG on 19/02/2019 - 17:17

      Thanks mate, I will try incognito browsing and see what it comes up with.

  • LayG on 19/02/2019 - 17:16

    Thanks guys, the way I put out my question looked so stupid to me.

    But glad you folks could make sense out of it lol

  • Stewardo on 19/02/2019 - 17:37
    +2

    Try hopper.com

    • ilikeradiohead on 20/02/2019 - 06:11

      +1 to this. They tell you if they think it will increase/decrease in price based on other data points they have collected.

  • jason101 on 19/02/2019 - 19:11
    +1

    This is a gamble - I have rolled the dice on this before and lost more times than I have won. ie Wait and hope vs suck up the $140 per person.

  • Donaldhump on 19/02/2019 - 19:14

    Of course

  • pao2x on 19/02/2019 - 20:08

    More often not. The price increases because of predicted and current load on plane maximised for profit. So a very common reason for price increase is the load is going up (especially if sudden or business travelers are not yet on the equation (i.e a few weeks before)). It will be like betting against a well calculated bet or betting against the house in a casino.

  • SmiTTy on 19/02/2019 - 20:25

    I was in the same situation recently… I waited but singapore airlines didn't go down again sadly.

    In the meantime I was also monitoring Qantas and British Airways. I eventually bought for slightly more with Qantas, altho I would've preferred to fly with SIA

    My recommendation is monitor the other airlines , at some point in time ull need to make a decision to keep waiting or bite the bullet on the best fare u can get. Its all a bit of luck

  • stirlo on 19/02/2019 - 20:30

    I’ve tried to beat the airlines 3 times in the last year on international flights. Just like you I saw a good deal then googled around to try other dates/airline combos hoping to save a bit more.

    All three times within a day or two the price of the flights went up and I had to book less desireable routes/airlines and spend more (was looking at Europe so luckily there were other options). I honestly don’t think you can win if you have a preference for particular airlines or inflexible dates. I think searching for alternatives just increases the price for you especially if you use different browsers/incognito mode.

    Think about it from airlines perspective, all of the sudden many different people are looking at travelling this flight on this date (with incognito/different devices how would they tell it’s just you?) if they saw this it makes sense for them to increase the price. I definitely had it happen with Qatar, Emirates and Iceland Air in the last 12 months so my advice is avoid searching too much at all costs.

  • LayG on 19/02/2019 - 21:34

    Wow didn't think of all these things. Thanks for enlightening me.

    I am pretty much cornered here as I prefer a certain airline and flight routes.

  • scanuck on 19/02/2019 - 21:51

    Point to point - airlines work on “buckets” - there is a certain number of fares available at each level. Say on a 300 seat aircraft there is 30 fares in 10 buckets (very basic look)

    Entry level is $500 and goes up $100 each time. Once 30 tickets are gone , the price goes up…..

    Multiple sector fares are much more complicated - and active revenue management does happen if the sales on a particular flight are below expectations.

    If it’s peak time -I wouldn’t imagine fares decreasing at any time

    • ilikeradiohead on 20/02/2019 - 06:12

      I believe this is true but I think they also dynamically price flights to stimulate demand. So I don't think if I 'bucket' is full that that price will never come up again.

  • capslock on 20/02/2019 - 07:43
    +1

    If you are leaving towards the end of June when its school holidays then the price probably won't go down.

    If its earlier in June then the price might go down, if less than the expected number of people book that flight in the next several weeks.

    They expect a certain number of people to fill up a certain amount of seats by a certain period of time. Prices go up and down to fill that quota. Unfortunately we will never know if that quota is being filled or not.

Login or Join to leave a comment
Login Join