Scenario 1: It's the 3rd of December, 2018.
What is the maximum amount of mobile phone data you can get for under $20 a month?
Scenario 2: It's the 3rd of December, 2020.
Same question as above.
Price Prediction: Mobile Plans
peterpeterpumpkin on 03/12/2016 - 02:14
Comments
I reckon 5gb and 10gb plus unlimited calls.
It's 2 & 4 year time frames.
$23/mth gets 8GB on Kogan today. So 25GB/50GB unless they play the kill the MVNO game again.
I'm talking as a general everyday month to month price. Kogans 8GB is on mega special, and also a 365 day plan.
Currently its sitting at around 2GB + a certain allocation of calls/texts for $20. I remember back in 2013 amaysim was just becoming a popular thing and it wasn't a whole lot better than it is now, i think it was 4 or 5GB for $40 a month.. So yeah it doesn't increase that quickly.
I am not that optimistic. One might want to look at the history to predict the future — what can you get for $20/month back in December 2014? Looking at some of the older deals from Amaysim, Aldi Mobile, Boost, TeleChoie, Vaya, etc — not much has changed.
Prices will go up again but people will be bamboozled by things like virtual rates (aka funny money) and think they're getting great value still - better than ever in fact.
We've already seen this over the last 4 years or so: value was massively decreased so customers were getting less than half of the value they were getting before after Telstra kicked Kogan from their network.
At the present period we're (well … me) getting better value than when Kogan was using Telstra for example 12.5GB for $25 (Vodafone Prepaid 50% off) but as we've already seen, the value that customers get in Australia does not get better just because markets.
The neoconservative fantasy that competition delivers lower prices fails again.
I feel that due to the high barrier of entry for the telco industry, the value will stay the same, or stagnant slight worse than today. You only have a few real telco vendors, the rest are MNVOs, which piggyback off the 3 main vendors for infrastructure.
There is no real competition. You can see that when value decrease happened, it happened all across the board (claiming it was due to increase in costs to maintain network). It can be said that they might be working in cartel, but innocent until proven guilty? Similar to the Colesworth issue, you can see it, but you can't drop the hammer on them.
As above, and as demonstrable, premium and budget range limits were put out as early as 2016. $80=200gb (is it location locked I don't know/ needs a voIP setup) via an aggressive, so-called challenger; and, $10.36/1GB feeds the mvno cheap-& cheerful .. there could be a 200X gap, to watch here. |:
No groundbreaking improvements for 24 months - not on the doorstep of roll-out~ 5G.
Competition/cartel being as they are, continue on keeping their powder dry and hellbent on moving consumers up to contracts, or prepaid middle-tier lines.It was quite unfortunate watching Telstra grandfather predated google play credit, and also completely axe unmetered mobile foxtel, all great offers. Now there's gap for a FreeView value-ad, which'd less a target from a network neutrality standpoint (contrast optus content)
Consumers might ask vendors for a return to the value-add as it applied to non wholesaled prepaid - down to $30. At $30-$20, 20 gb may turn up in '19, predictable.
Someone does 100gb x $40, sweat-spot in before end of this decade? Only time will tell.As far as the big 3 GO(Optus/Voda/Telstra)
It's hard to predict more then 3 to 6 months ahead of time because I think it has a lot to do with competition but will say Telstra will be priced higher then Optus and Vodafone when comparing the amount of data at certain price pointsAs of today 14th December 2016 10gb for $50 BYO 12 month contract, depends on the market but could see double that for $50 maybe $60 in 2018
I will say I also think it all depends about the Australian dollar vs U.S and apple pricing but I do think we will see over time higher and higher price points where Apple iPhones and some other high-end(priced) plans start at, which may include more data over time, maybe 10gb or sp but plans start at $100 or more
I do think 5G will bring data cost down alot and also maybe not but 2020 but at some point most cars will have 5G(some have 4G now) and we will see other 5G enable devices that need data
Also I wouldn't be surprised to see TPG buy Vodafone one day
Like I said more data but overtime at higher price points for plans which include phones, but BYO and prepay might only go up to min $40 or $50 like now
Prepaid or Postpaid?
Make it a Poll.